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Severe Winter Storm in Store for the Southeast: AI Models Discussion 1-20-2026
AI models discussion focusing on the large-scale setup for a winter storm across the Southern US around 1/25/26-1/26/26.
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The Southwest Pacific Heats Up. ENSO implications? AI Models Discussion 1-7-2026
Brief discussion of possible TC activity across the Western Pacific, and potential ENSO implications from an MJO passage.
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How Did Google DeepMind Perform During the 2025 East Pacific Hurricane Season? AI Models Discussion 12-19-2025
Analysis of verification results from the 2025 East Pacific hurricane season for Google DeepMind compared with several operational models
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How Did Google DeepMind Perform During the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season? AI Models Discussion 12-15-2025
Analysis of Google DeepMind performance during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season based on composite track and intensity statistics.
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Invest 93W Heading Toward the Philippines
AI Models Discussion on Invest 93W in the West Pacific
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MJO On the March, Late Season Atlantic Activity (or not)?: AI Models Discussion 11-25-2025
AI models discussion on tropical activity across the globe in late November 2025.
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Fina Impacting Australia, 95B Heading Into the Indian Ocean: AI Models Discussion 11-21-2025
AI models discussion focused on the forecast for Cyclone Fina near Australia and Invest 95B in the Indian Ocean
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05S Threatens Australia: AI Models Discussion 11-18-2025
AI Models discussion focused on TC 05S near Australia.
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Northern Hemisphere TC Season Winding Down: AI Models Discussion 11-14-2025
Brief discussion of AI model forecasts for TC activity over the next week or two, with a discussion of possible ENSO transition as well.
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How Did Google DeepMind Perform for Hurricane Melissa?
Evaluation of the Google DeepMind ensemble track and intensity forecasts for Hurricane Melissa
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Typhoon Fung-Wong Heads Towards the Philippines: AI Models Discussion 11-7-2025
Discussion of AI model forecasts for Typhoon Fung-Wong in the West Pacific, which is moving towards the Philippines as it strengthens.
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Kalmaegi Moving Towards Vietnam, 32W Spinning Up and Heading Towards the Philippines: AI Models Discussion 11-5-2025
AI Models Discussion Focused on Typhoon Kalmaegi and TD32W in the West Pacific
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Kalmaegi Moves Through the Philippines, 90W on the Horizon: AI Models Discussion 11-3-2025
AI models forecast discussion on Typhoon Kalmaegi and Invest 90W in the West Pacific.
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Melissa Moves Away, West Pacific Heating Up: AI Models Discussion 10-31-2025
AI models discussion on 10-31-2025 focusing on possible activity in the West Pacific.
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Melissa Threatens the Caribbean: AI Models Discussion 10-22-2025
Discussion of AI model forecasts for Tropical Storm Melissa in the Caribbean
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A Tricky Forecast Ahead for 98L: AI Models Discussion 10-20-2025
A discussion of some of the factors related to the forecast for 98L in the Caribbean, and some of the different possible outcomes.
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What’s Coming in the Caribbean? AI Models Discussion 10-17-2025
Analysis of AI Model Forecasts for the wave in the Central Atlantic that could develop in the Caribbean next week
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Global Tropics Discussion 10-15-2025
A discussion of AI model forecasts for several basins around the globe in mid October.
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Global Tropics Discussion 10-13-2025
A discussion of forecasts for the tropics in the West Pacific, East Pacific, and Atlantic, based on AI model forecasts.
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How Did AI Models Perform for Hurricane Imelda?
Analysis of AI Model Verification for Hurricane Imelda
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How Did AI Models Perform for Hurricane Humberto?
An analysis of AI model verification for Hurricane Humberto.
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What Does October Hold in the Atlantic? AI Models Discussion 10-6-2025
Discussion of the Atlantic tropics, including Invest 95L and a coastal low forecast to form off the SE Coast this weekend.
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Tropics Staying Busy in Early October: A Look at the Global Tropics 10-1-2025
Analysis of AI model forecasts for the West Pacific, East Pacific, and Atlantic as we head into early October
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How Good Were AI Models for Typhoon Ragasa?
A detailed look at track and intensity performance of AI models for Typhoon Ragasa.
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A Tricky Setup: Atlantic Model Forecast Discussion 9-24-2025
Wednesday evening discussion on the complex forecast setup evolving with Humberto and 94L, based on AI model forecast outputs.
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Atlantic and Pacific Model Forecast Discussion 9-22-2025: Staying Active
Discussion of the Pacific and Atlantic Tropics Based on AI Model Forecasts on September 22, 2025
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What’s Coming Behind Gabrielle? Atlantic Model Forecast Discussion 9-19-2025
Discussion of the Atlantic tropics on September 19, 2025, including some potential systems behind TS Gabrielle.
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Tropics Waking Up: Atlantic and Pacific AI Model Forecast Discussion 9-17-2025
A discussion of the Pacific and Atlantic tropics based on AI model forecasts, with activity picking up.
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Atlantic and Pacific Model Forecast Discussion 9-16-2025
Analysis of potential development in the West Pacific and Atlantic, as well as a brief discussion of TS Mario in the East Pacific.
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Pacific and Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion 9-12-2025
Analysis of Features of Interesting the Pacific and Atlantic tropics, based partially on analysis of AI Forecast Models
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Tropical Weather Discussion 9-10-2025
Discussion of systems of interest in the Atlantic and East Pacific tropics on September 10, 2025, based on forecasts from AI models.
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Atlantic and East Pacific Tropical Discussion 9-8-2025
Discussion of Future Activity in the East Pacific and Atlantic based on AI model forecasts.
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Discussion of AI Model Forecasts for Invest 91L
Analysis of AI vs. Dynamical Model Forecasts for Invest 91L in the Central Atlantic
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Analyzing AI Models' Tropical Cyclone Forecasts
We will dive into a few areas of interest, specifically Hurricane Kiko in the East/Central Pacific, Hurricane Lorena in the East Pacific.
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Towards Real-World Evaluation of Machine-Learning Weather Prediction
What can we learn by evaluating real-world, operational MLWP forecasts for extreme weather?