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05L forms in the Gulf, Lowell Moves Across the Pacific: AI Models Discussion 8-31-2026
AI Models Discussion Looking at TC Activity in the Atlantic and Pacific, including TD5 and TS Lowell
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In between building AI weather forecasting tools, occasionally we'll talk about AI, weather and data.
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Atlantic Finally Showing Signs of Life? AI Models Discussion 8-24-2026
AI models discussion focused on Invest 96L over the Eastern Atlantic
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More West and Central Pacific action; will the Atlantic wake up? AI Models Discussion 8-20-2026
AI models discussion looking at ongoing and potential systems across the Pacific and Atlantic
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Lala Approaches Hawaii, Atlantic Looks Hostile: AI Models Discussion 8-14-2026
AI Models Discussion on Tropical Storm Lala near Hawaii and other activity in the West Pacific and Atlantic basins.
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AI Models Discussion 8-10-2026
AI Models Forecast Looking at Tropical Activity in the West Pacific, East/Central Pacific, and North Atlantic
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West Pacific is Busy, Atlantic and East Pacific Quiet for Now: AI Models Discussion 8-5-2026
AI models discussion on Typhoon Dolphin, Tropical Storm Kujira, and other possible TC activity across the globe
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Dolphin Moving Across the West Pacific, Fausto and Genevieve Spinning Down: AI Models Discussion 7-29-2026
AI Models forecast focused on Typhoon Dolphin in the West Pacific, along with a look at the East Pacific and Atlantic
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Bertha Moving Across the Gulf, Fausto a Possible Hawaii Threat: AI Models Discussion 7-22-2026
AI Models Discussion for systems across the globe, focusing on TS Bertha in the Gulf, Hurricane Fausto in the East Pacific, and Invest 92W in the West Pacific
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Low Chances of Development in the Atlantic, Pacific Stays Busy
AI Models Discussion for 7/16/26 Looking at TC Activity in the Atlantic, East Pacific, and West Pacific
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Pacific Active Across the Basin, a Slight Chance of Some Atlantic Development: AI Models Discussion 7-13-2026
AI Models Forecast on 7/13/2026 looking at TC activity across the Atlantic and Pacific basins.
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Bavi Moves West Towards East Asia, East Pacific Waking up Soon?
AI models forecast discussion focused on Typhoon Bavi in the West Pacific, as it moves west towards Taiwan and Eastern China.
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95W Looks Like a Long-Track Typhoon Threat: AI Models Discussion 6-29-2026
AI models forecast focused on TC activity in the West Pacific, including invests 95W and 96W.
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West Pacific Remains Active, Watching the SE Coast Next Week
AI models blog focused on the TC activity in the West Pacific and a slight chance of development in the Atlantic off a stalled front.
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07W Moving West, Pacific Looks to Remain Active
AI Models discussion on tropical activity across the Northern Hemisphere, with most focus on activity in the West Pacific.
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92W Moving Across the West Pacific, PTC01 Brings Rain to the Gulf Coast
AI Models Discussion focusing on Invest 92W in the West Pacific and PTC01 in the Gulf.
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92W Something to Watch, Slight Signals Elsewhere: AI Models Discussion 6-12-2026
AI Models Discussion for 6-12-2026, focused mostly on Invest 92W in the West Pacific
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Hurricane Season Getting Going Across the Northern Hemisphere: AI Models Discussion 6-4-2026
AI models forecast discussion exploring ongoing and potential TC activity in the West Pacific, East Pacific, and Atlantic basins.
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West Pacific Heating Up? AI Models Discussion 5-18-2026
AI Models Blog focused on possible West Pacific TC development later this month.
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Maila Moves Towards Papua New Guinea, 90W Threatens the Mariana Islands
AI models discussion focused on TC activity over the Pacific Ocean, mostly Cyclone Maila in the Solomon Sea and Invest 90W over the Northwest Pacific
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Maila and 91P form in the Southwest Pacific, a North Pacific Twin Coming?
AI Models Discussion focusing on TC activity over the Southwest and Northwest Pacific in early April 2026
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Narelle Approaching a Final Landfall In Australia, Twins Coming? AI Models Discussion 3-25-2026
AI Models forecast discussion on Cyclone Narelle near Australia, and possible Twin TCs in the West Pacific next week, including a discussion of ENSO.
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Narelle Threatens Australia: AI Models Discussion 3-17-2026
Forecast discussion looking at AI model forecasts for TS Narelle near Australia.
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Maritime Continent Getting Active: AI Models Discussion 2-27-2026
AI Models Discussion on Ongoing and Potential TC Activity Across the Maritime Continent and Pacific
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Gezani Impacts Madagascar: How Did AI Models Perform?
Analysis of AI model forecasts for Cycle Gezani, currently impacting Madagascar.
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Severe Winter Storm in Store for the Southeast: AI Models Discussion 1-20-2026
AI models discussion focusing on the large-scale setup for a winter storm across the Southern US around 1/25/26-1/26/26.
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The Southwest Pacific Heats Up. ENSO implications? AI Models Discussion 1-7-2026
Brief discussion of possible TC activity across the Western Pacific, and potential ENSO implications from an MJO passage.
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How Did Google DeepMind Perform During the 2025 East Pacific Hurricane Season? AI Models Discussion 12-19-2025
Analysis of verification results from the 2025 East Pacific hurricane season for Google DeepMind compared with several operational models
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How Did Google DeepMind Perform During the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season? AI Models Discussion 12-15-2025
Analysis of Google DeepMind performance during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season based on composite track and intensity statistics.
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Invest 93W Heading Toward the Philippines
AI Models Discussion on Invest 93W in the West Pacific
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MJO On the March, Late Season Atlantic Activity (or not)?: AI Models Discussion 11-25-2025
AI models discussion on tropical activity across the globe in late November 2025.
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Fina Impacting Australia, 95B Heading Into the Indian Ocean: AI Models Discussion 11-21-2025
AI models discussion focused on the forecast for Cyclone Fina near Australia and Invest 95B in the Indian Ocean
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05S Threatens Australia: AI Models Discussion 11-18-2025
AI Models discussion focused on TC 05S near Australia.
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Northern Hemisphere TC Season Winding Down: AI Models Discussion 11-14-2025
Brief discussion of AI model forecasts for TC activity over the next week or two, with a discussion of possible ENSO transition as well.
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How Did Google DeepMind Perform for Hurricane Melissa?
Evaluation of the Google DeepMind ensemble track and intensity forecasts for Hurricane Melissa
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Typhoon Fung-Wong Heads Towards the Philippines: AI Models Discussion 11-7-2025
Discussion of AI model forecasts for Typhoon Fung-Wong in the West Pacific, which is moving towards the Philippines as it strengthens.
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Kalmaegi Moving Towards Vietnam, 32W Spinning Up and Heading Towards the Philippines: AI Models Discussion 11-5-2025
AI Models Discussion Focused on Typhoon Kalmaegi and TD32W in the West Pacific
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Kalmaegi Moves Through the Philippines, 90W on the Horizon: AI Models Discussion 11-3-2025
AI models forecast discussion on Typhoon Kalmaegi and Invest 90W in the West Pacific.
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Melissa Moves Away, West Pacific Heating Up: AI Models Discussion 10-31-2025
AI models discussion on 10-31-2025 focusing on possible activity in the West Pacific.
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Melissa Threatens the Caribbean: AI Models Discussion 10-22-2025
Discussion of AI model forecasts for Tropical Storm Melissa in the Caribbean
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A Tricky Forecast Ahead for 98L: AI Models Discussion 10-20-2025
A discussion of some of the factors related to the forecast for 98L in the Caribbean, and some of the different possible outcomes.
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What’s Coming in the Caribbean? AI Models Discussion 10-17-2025
Analysis of AI Model Forecasts for the wave in the Central Atlantic that could develop in the Caribbean next week
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Global Tropics Discussion 10-15-2025
A discussion of AI model forecasts for several basins around the globe in mid October.
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Global Tropics Discussion 10-13-2025
A discussion of forecasts for the tropics in the West Pacific, East Pacific, and Atlantic, based on AI model forecasts.
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How Did AI Models Perform for Hurricane Imelda?
Analysis of AI Model Verification for Hurricane Imelda
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How Did AI Models Perform for Hurricane Humberto?
An analysis of AI model verification for Hurricane Humberto.
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What Does October Hold in the Atlantic? AI Models Discussion 10-6-2025
Discussion of the Atlantic tropics, including Invest 95L and a coastal low forecast to form off the SE Coast this weekend.
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Tropics Staying Busy in Early October: A Look at the Global Tropics 10-1-2025
Analysis of AI model forecasts for the West Pacific, East Pacific, and Atlantic as we head into early October
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How Good Were AI Models for Typhoon Ragasa?
A detailed look at track and intensity performance of AI models for Typhoon Ragasa.
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A Tricky Setup: Atlantic Model Forecast Discussion 9-24-2025
Wednesday evening discussion on the complex forecast setup evolving with Humberto and 94L, based on AI model forecast outputs.
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Atlantic and Pacific Model Forecast Discussion 9-22-2025: Staying Active
Discussion of the Pacific and Atlantic Tropics Based on AI Model Forecasts on September 22, 2025
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What’s Coming Behind Gabrielle? Atlantic Model Forecast Discussion 9-19-2025
Discussion of the Atlantic tropics on September 19, 2025, including some potential systems behind TS Gabrielle.
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Tropics Waking Up: Atlantic and Pacific AI Model Forecast Discussion 9-17-2025
A discussion of the Pacific and Atlantic tropics based on AI model forecasts, with activity picking up.
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Atlantic and Pacific Model Forecast Discussion 9-16-2025
Analysis of potential development in the West Pacific and Atlantic, as well as a brief discussion of TS Mario in the East Pacific.
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Pacific and Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion 9-12-2025
Analysis of Features of Interesting the Pacific and Atlantic tropics, based partially on analysis of AI Forecast Models
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Tropical Weather Discussion 9-10-2025
Discussion of systems of interest in the Atlantic and East Pacific tropics on September 10, 2025, based on forecasts from AI models.
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Atlantic and East Pacific Tropical Discussion 9-8-2025
Discussion of Future Activity in the East Pacific and Atlantic based on AI model forecasts.
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Discussion of AI Model Forecasts for Invest 91L
Analysis of AI vs. Dynamical Model Forecasts for Invest 91L in the Central Atlantic
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Analyzing AI Models' Tropical Cyclone Forecasts
We will dive into a few areas of interest, specifically Hurricane Kiko in the East/Central Pacific, Hurricane Lorena in the East Pacific.
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Towards Real-World Evaluation of Machine-Learning Weather Prediction
What can we learn by evaluating real-world, operational MLWP forecasts for extreme weather?